PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH
Balshi, M.S., A.D. McGuire, P. Duffy, D.W. Kicklighter, and J. Melillo. "Vulnerability of carbon storage in North American boreal forests to wildfires during the 21st Century," Global Change Biology, v.15, 2009, p. 1491.
Balshi, M.S., A.D. McGuire, P. Duffy, M. Flannigan, J. Walsh, and J. Melillo. "Assessing the response of area burned to changing climate in western boreal North America using a Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) approach," Global Change Biology, v.15, 2009, p. 578.
Balshi, M.S., A.D. McGuire, Q. Zhuang, J.M. Melillo, D.W. Kicklighter, E.S. Kasischke, C. Wirth, M. Flannigan, J. Harden, J.S. Clein, T.J. Burnside, J. McAllister, W.A. Kurz, M. Apps, and A. Shvidenko. "The role of fire disturbance in the carbon dynamics of the pan-boreal region: A process-based analysis.," Journal of Geophysical Research Biogeosciences, v.112, 2007, p. G02029.
Birdsey, R., N. Bates, M. Behrenfeld, K. Davis, S. Doney, R. Feely, D. Hansell, L. Heath, E. Kasischke, H. Kheshgi, B. Law, C. Lee, A.D. McGuire, P. Raymond, and C.J. Tucker. "Carbon cycle observations: Gaps threaten climate mitigation policies," EOS, v.90, 2009, p. 292.
Calef, M.P., A.D. McGuire, and F.S. Chapin III. "Human influences on wildfire in Alaska from 1988 through 2005: An analysis of spatial patterns of human impacts," Earth Interactions, v.12, 2008.
Chapin, F.S. III, J. MacFarland, A.D. McGuire, E.S. Euskirchen, R.W. Ruess, and K. Kielland. "The changing global carbon cycle: Linking plant-soil carbon dynamics to global consequences," Journal of Ecology, v.97, 2009, p. 840.
Chapin, F.S. III, J.T. Randerson, A.D. McGuire, J.A. Foley, and C.B. Field. "Changing feedbacks in the climate-biosphere system," Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, v.6, 2008, p. 313.
Chapin, F.S., III, G.M. Woodwell, J.T. Randerson, E.B. Rastetter, G.M. Lovett, D.D. Baldocchi, D.A. Clark, M.E. Harmon, D.S. Schimel, R. Valentini, C. Wirth, J.D. Aber, J.J. Cole, A. Giblin, M.L. Goulden, J.W. Harden, M. Heimann, R.W. Howarth, P.A. Matson. "Reconciling carbon-cycle concepts, terminology, and methods," Ecosystems, v.9, 2006, p. 1041.
Chapin, F.S., III, S.F. Trainor, O. Huntington, A.L. Lovecraft, E. Zavaleta, D.C. Natcher, A.D. McGuire, J.L. Nelson, L. Ray, M. Calef, N. Fresco, H. Huntington, T.S. Rupp, L. DeWilde, and R.A. Naylor. "Increasing wildfire in Alaskaâ??s boreal forest: Causes, consequences, and pathways to potential solutions of a wicked problem," BioScience, v.58, 2008, p. 531.
Chen, Y.-H. and R.G. Prinn. "Estimation of atmospheric methane emissions between 1996-2001 using a 3D global chemical transport model," J. Geophys. Res., v.111, 2006.
Clein, J.S., A.D. McGuire, E.S. Euskirchen, and M.P. Calef. "The effects of different climate input data sets on simulated carbon dynamics in the Western Arctic," Earth Interactions, v.11, 2007.
Corell, R.W., S.J. Hassol, J.M. Melillo, D. Archer, E. Euskirchen, F.S. Chapin III, A.D. McGuire, T.R. Christensen, V.P. Fichelet, K. Walter, Q. Zhuang, T. Callaghan, S. Bech, and C. McMullen. "Methane from the Arctic: Global warming wildcard," In: UNEP Year Book 2008, 2008, p. 37.
Duffy, P.A., J. Epting, J.M. Graham, T.S. Rupp, and A.D. McGuire. "Analysis of burn severity patterns using remotely sensed data," International Journal of Wildland Fire, v.16, 2007.
Euskirchen, E.S., A.D. McGuire, F.S. Chapin III, S. Yi, and C.C. Thompson. "Changes in vegetation in northern Alaska under scenarios of climate change 2003-2100: Implications for climate feedbacks.," Ecological Applications, v.19, 2009, p. 1022.
Euskirchen, S.E., A.D. McGuire, and F.S. Chapin III. "Energy feedbacks of northern high-latitude ecosystems to the climate system due to reduced snow cover during 20th Century warming," Global Change Biology, v.13, 2007.
Euskirchen, S.E., A.D. McGuire, D.W. Kicklighter, Q. Zhuang, J.S. Clein, R.J. Dargaville, ýD.G. Dye, J.S. Kimball, K.C. McDonald, J.M. Melillo, V.E. Romanovsky, and N.V. Smith. "Importance of recent shifts in soil thermal dynamics on growing season length, productivity, and carbon sequestration in terrestrial high-latitude ecosystems," Global Change Biology, v.12, 2006, p. 731.
Fagre, D.B., C.W. Charles, C.D. Allen, C. Birkeland, F.S. Chapin III, P.M. Groffman, G.R. Gunternspergen, A.K. Knapp, A.D. McGuire, P.J. Mulholland, D.P.C. Peters, D.D. Roby, and G. Sugihara. "Thresholds of Climate Change in Ecosystems," U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA, 2009.
Hayes, D.J., L. Guo, and A.D. McGuire. "A scientific synthesis and assessment of the arctic carbon cycle: AMAP/CliC/IASC Arctic Carbon Cycle Assessment Workshop, Seattle, Washington, 27 February - March 2007," EOS, v.88, 2007, p. 270.
Kane, E.S., E.S. Kasischke, D.W. Valentine, M.R. Turetsky, and A.D. McGuire. "Topographic influences on wildfire consumption of soil organic carbon in interior Alaska: Implications for black carbon accumulation," Journal of Geophysical Research - Biogeosciences, v.112, 2007, p. G03017.
Karl, T.R., J.M. Melillo, T.C. Peterson, D.M. Anderson, D.F. Boesch, V. Burkett, L.M. Carter, S.J. Cohen, N.B. Grimm, J.L. Hatfield, K. Hayhoe, A. Janetos, J.A. Kaye, J. Lawrimore, J. McCarthy, A.D. McGuire, E. Miles, E. Mills, J.T. Overpeck, J. Patz, R.. "Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States: A State of Knowledge Report from the U.S. Global Change Research Program," Cambridge University Press. New York, 2009.
Kimball, J.S., M. Zhao, A.D. McGuire, F.A. Heinsch, J. Clein, M. Calef, W.M. Jolly, S. Kang, S.E. Euskirchen, K.C. McDonald, and S.W. Running. "Recent climate-driven increases in vegetation productivity: Evidence of an acceleration of the northern terrestrial carbon cycle," Earth Interactions, v.11, 2007.
Manizza, M., M. J. Follows, S. Dutkiewicz, J. W. McClelland, D. Menemenlis, C. N. Hill, A. Townsend-Small, and B. J. Peterson. "Modeling transport and fate of riverine dissolved organic carbon in the Arctic Ocean.," Global Biogeochemical Cycles, v.23, 2009, p. GB4006,.
McGuire, A.D., F. S. Chapin III, C. Wirth, M. Apps, J. Bhatti, T. Callaghan, T. R. Christensen, J. S. Clein, M. Fukuda, T. Maximov, A. Onuchin, A. Shvidenko, and E. Vaganov. "Responses of high latitude ecosystems to global change: Potential consequences for the climate system," Terrestrial Ecosystems in a Changing World, 2007, p. 297.
McGuire, A.D., F.S. Chapin III, J.E. Walsh, and C. Wirth. "Integrated regional changes in arctic climate feedbacks: Implications for the global climate system," Annual Review of Environment and Resources, v.31, 2006, p. 61.
McGuire, A.D., J. Walsh, J. Kimball, J. Clein, S. Euskirchen, S. Drobot, U. Herzfeld, J. Maslanik, R. Lammers, M. Rawlins, C. Vorosmarty, T. Rupp, W. Wu, and M. Calef.. "The Western Arctic Linkage Experiment (WALE): Overview and synthesis," Earth Interactions, 2008.
McGuire, A.D., L.G. Anderson, T.R. Christensen, S. Dallimore, L. Guo, D.J. Hayes, M. Heimann, T.D. Lorenson, R.W. Macdonald, and N. Roulet. "Sensitivity of the carbon cycle in the Arctic to climate change.," Ecological Monographs, v.79, 2009, p. 523-555.
Myers-Smith, I., A.D. McGuire, J.W. Harden, and F.S. Chapin III. "The influence of disturbance on carbon exchange in a permafrost collapse and adjacent burned forest," Journal of Geophysical Research - Biogeosciences, v.112, 2007.
Myers-Smith, I., J. Harden, M. Wilmking, C. Fuller, A.D. McGuire, and F.S. Chapin III. "Wetland succession in a permafrost collapse: Interactions between fire and thermokarst.," Biogeosciences, v.5, 2008, p. 1273.
Post, E., M.C. Forchhammer, S. Bret-Harte, T.V. Callaghan, T.R. Christensen, B. Elberling, A.D. Fox, O. Gilg, D.S. Hik, T.T. Hoye, R.A. Ims, E. Jeppesen, D.R. Klein, J. Madsen, A.D. McGuire, S. Rysgaard, D.E. Schindler, I. Stirling, M.P. Tamstorf, N.J.C.. "Ecological dynamics across the Arctic associated with recent climate change.," Science, v.325, 2009, p. 1355.
Raymond, P. A., J. W. McClelland, R. M. Holmes, A. V. Zhulidov, K. Mull, B. J. Peterson, R. G. Striegl, G. R. Aiken, and T. Y. Gurtovaya. "The flux and age of DOC exported to the Arctic Ocean: A carbon isotopic study of the five largest arctic rivers," Global Biogeochemical Cycles, v.21, 2007, p. GB4011.
Rupp, T.S., X. Chen, M. Olson, and A.D. McGuire. "Sensitivity of simulated boreal fire dynamics to uncertainties in climate drivers," Earth Interactions, v.11, 2007.
Sitch, S., A.D. McGuire, J. Kimball, N. Gedney, J. Gamon, R. Engstrom, A. Wolf, Q. Zhuang, J.S. Clein, and K.C. McDonald. "Assessing the carbon balance of circumpolar arctic tundra with remote sensing and process modeling," Ecological Applications, v.17, 2007, p. 213.
Sokolov, A. P., D. W. Kicklighter, J. M. Melillo, B. S. Felzer, C. A. Schlosser, and T. W. Cronin. "Consequences of considering carbon-nitrogen interactions on the feedbacks between climate and the terrestrial carbon cycle," Journal of Climate, v.21, 2008, p. 3776.
Tang, J., and Q. Zhuang. "A global sensitivity analysis and Bayesian inference framework for improving the parameter estimation and prediction of a process-based Terrestrial Ecosystem Model," J. Geophys. Res, v.114, 2009, p. D15303.
Tang, J.,and Q. Zhuang. "Equifinality in parameterization of process-based biogeochemistry models: A significant uncertainty source to the estimation of regional carbon dynamics," J. Geophys. Res, v.113, 2008, p. G04010.
Thompson, C.D., A.D. McGuire, J.S. Clein, F.S. Chapin III, and J. Beringer. "Net carbon exchange across the arctic tundra-boreal forest transition in Alaska 1981 - 2000," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, v.11, 2006, p. 805.
Trainor, S.F., M. Calef, D. Natcher, F.S. Chapin III, A.D. McGuire, O. Huntington, P. Duffy, T.S. Rupp, L. DeWilde, M. Kwart, N. Fresco, and A.L. Lovecraft.. "Vulnerability and adaptation to climate-related fire impacts in rural and urban interior Alaska," Polar Research, v.28, 2009, p. 100.
Turetsky, M.R., C.C. Treat, M. Waldrop, M. Waddington, J.W. Harden, and A.D. McGuire. "Short-term response of methane fluxes and methanogen activity to water table and soil warming manipulations in an Alaskan peatland," Journal of Geophysical Research - Biogeosciences, v.113, 2008, p. G00A10.
Vorosmarty, C.J., A.D. McGuire, L. Hinzman, M. Holland, M. Murray, J. Schimel, W. Warnick, ýJ. Weatherly, H. Wiggins.. "New perspectives through data discovery and modeling: Arctic System Synthesis Workshop," EOS, v.88, 2007.
Wu, W., A.H. Lynch, S. Drobot, J. Maslanik, A.D. McGuire, and U. Herzfeld. "Comparative analysis of the western arctic surface climate with modeling and observations," Earth Interactions, v.11, 2007.
Xiao, J. and Q. Zhuang. "Drought effects on large fire activity in Canadian and Alaskan forests," Environ. Res. Lett., 2007.
Yi, S., A.D. McGuire, J. Harden, E. Kasaschke, K. Manies, L. Hinzman, A. Liljedahl, J. Randerson, H. Liu, V. Romanovsky, S. Marchenko, and Y Kim. "Interactions between soil thermal and hydrological dynamics in the response of Alaska ecosystems to fire disturbance.," Journal of Geophysical Research - Biogeosciences, v.114, 2009, p. G02015.
Yi, S., K. Manies, J. Harden, and A.D. McGuire. "Characteristics of organic soil in black spruce forests: Implications for the application of land surface and ecosystem models in cold regions.," Geophysical Research Letters, v.36, 2009, p. L05501.
Zhuang, Q., and W. S. Reeburgh. "Introduction to special section on Synthesis of Recent Terrestrial Methane Emission Studies,," J. Geophys. Res, v.113, 2008, p. G00A02.
Zhuang, Q., J. M. Melack, S. Zimov, K. M. Walter, C. L. Butenhoff, and M. A. K. Khalil. "Global methane emissions from wetlands, rice paddies, and lakes," EOS, v.90, 2009, p. 37.
Zhuang, Q., J. M. Melillo, A. D. McGuire, D. W. Kicklighter, R. G. Prinn, P. A. Steudler, B. S. Felzer, and S. Hu. "Net emissions of CH4 and CO2 in Alaska: Implications for the region's greenhouse gas budget," Ecological Applications, v.17, 2007, p. 203.
Zhuang, Q., J.M. Melillo, M. C. Sarofim, D.W. Kicklighter, A.D. McGuire, B.S. Felzer, A. Sokolov, R.G. Prinn, P.A. Steudler, and S. Hu. "CO2 and CH4 exchanges between land ecosystems and the atmosphere in northern high latitudes over the 21st century,," Geophysical Research Letters, v.33, 2006, p. L17403.